Summary information

Study title

VALU 2018 - SVT exit poll survey parliamentary election 2018

Creator

Ekengren Oscarsson, Henrik (Department of Political Science, University of Gothenburg)
Näsman, Per (Division of Safety Research, Royal Institute of Technology)
Landahl, Eva (Sveriges Television)
Holmberg, Sören (Department of Political Science, University of Gothenburg)

Study number / PID

snd1067-1-1.0 (SND)

https://doi.org/10.5878/b2gb-1m24 (DOI)

Data access

Restricted

Series

Not available

Abstract

This exit poll survey (VALU, an abbreviation for vallokalsundersökning) was carried out in connection with the parliamentary election on September 9, 2018. In VALU voters leaving polling stations are asked by public service broadcaster Sveriges Television (SVT) to fill in a questionnaire and put it anonymously in a sealed box. After collecting and processing the responses, Sveriges Television is able to present an election forecast and an analysis of the reasons underlying the outcome of the election in its Election Night broadcast. The first exit poll survey in Sweden was carried out at the parliamentary election in 1991. Since then similar studies have been carried out in connection with all Parliamentary elections, referendums and elections to the European Parliament. In VALU, Sweden (constituencies) is divided into geographical regions grouped around major university cities. In each of the regions, a university teacher is engaged as regional survey leader. The survey leaders act as supervisors for the field agents who carry out the survey in the polling stations and early voting stations respectively. All survey leaders have knowledge of statistical methodology. Purpose: Provide analytical support for the election night broadcast on Swedish television during the election night, and for other post-election analysis.

Methodology

Data collection period

03/09/2018 - 09/09/2018

Country

Sweden

Time dimension

Longitudinal: Trend/Repeated cross-section

Analysis unit

Individual

Universe

Swedish electorate

Sampling procedure

In VALU a selection is made of a number of electoral districts and in this way their respective polling station. The number of electoral districts to be selected for VALU is allocated among the different regions according to the size of the electorate. Within each region, the electoral districts are then selected to be included in VALU. This selection is based on the size and geographical location of the electoral district.
Mixed probability and non-probability

Kind of data

Not available

Data collection mode

Self-administered questionnaire: paper

Access

Publisher

Swedish National Data Service

Publication year

2018

Terms of data access

Access to data through SND. Data are accessible by order.

Related publications

Not available