Summary information

Study title

Power-Sharing and Voting: Conflict, Accountability and Electoral Behaviour at the 2015 Northern Ireland Assembly Election

Creator

O'Leary, B., Queen's University of Belfast, School of History, Anthropology, Philosophy and Politics
Stevenson, C. Patrick, Anglia Ruskin University, Department of Psychology
Coakley, J., Queen's University of Belfast, School of History, Anthropology, Philosophy and Politics
Evans, G., University of Oxford, Nuffield College
Garry, J., Queen's University of Belfast, School of Politics, International Studies and Philosophy
Hobolt, S. Binzer, University of Oxford, Department of Politics and International Relations
Tilley, J., University of Oxford, Department of Politics and International Relations

Study number / PID

8293 (UKDA)

10.5255/UKDA-SN-8293-1 (DOI)

Data access

Restricted

Series

Not available

Abstract

Abstract copyright UK Data Service and data collection copyright owner.This dataset comprises the results of a survey of a cross section of the Northern Ireland population. Respondents were asked questions on a range of political attitudes and behaviour. The survey was conducted directly after the Northern Ireland Assembly Election 2016 and asks the following: full voting information as gathered via a mock ballot paper, full set of demographic questions including social class, religion, education, gender and suchlike, battery of political attitude questions on ethnonational, economic and moral themes, question on voting behaviour in the EU referendum, questions on political accountability, ethnic representation, candidate traits and other politically relevant questions. Background information on the Power-Sharing and Voting: Conflict, Accountability and Electoral Behaviour at the 2015 Northern Ireland Assembly Election project: When citizens in Northern Ireland cast their vote in the 2015 Northern Ireland Assembly election, almost two decades had passed since the Good Friday/ Belfast Agreement of 1998 established devolution and power-sharing. Thus, a rigorous analysis of the 2015 Assembly election allows careful consideration of the impact of the 'peace process' and the associated implementation of power-sharing governing structures. The project investigates whether power-sharing has actually led to good quality electoral democracy for the people of Northern Ireland or has instead merely cemented and strengthened ethnic divisions. In the investigation, a number of specific questions are addressed.1) Have the power-sharing institutions maintained or reduced the importance of ethno-national (Protestant British versus Catholic Irish) campaigning and voting at election time? The study compares the strength of ethno-national voting over the 1998-2015 period by linking the 2015 study to earlier ESRC funded studies in 1998 and 2003. The project assesses whether there...
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Methodology

Data collection period

06/05/2016 - 31/07/2016

Country

Northern Ireland

Time dimension

Cross-sectional (one-time) study

Analysis unit

Individuals
National

Universe

Adults aged 18 and over resident in Northern Ireland.

Sampling procedure

Multi-stage stratified random sample
The survey was conducted by Ipsos MORI, who employed a two-stage approach to implementing a stratified random location design, based on randomly selected Output Areas (OAs), with demographic quotas to reflect the profile of each OA within each area of interest. The quotas set ensured that a representative sample of the Northern Ireland population aged 18+ was achieved, in terms of gender, age and social class and with the 250 sample points across Northern Ireland, a representative geographic spread was achieved. Face-to-face, in-home, CAPI Interviewing commenced on Friday 6 May, the day immediately following the 2016 Northern Ireland Assembly Election. Over two thirds of the target number of interviews (2,817) were completed before the end of June, with the remaining interviews (1,226) completed in July. The large number of respondents in the survey allows unprecedented ability to analyse lower preference voting, hence providing a unique insight into the use of Single Transferable Vote (STV) in Northern Ireland. Consistent with previous survey research, this survey somewhat over-represents voters rather than non-voters (66% stated that they voted compared to the real turnout of 55%). Also, in line with previous Northern Ireland surveys, Sinn Fein support is somewhat underrepresented (17% compared to 24%) and support for Alliance is slightly over-represented.

Kind of data

Numeric

Data collection mode

Face-to-face interview

Funding information

Grant number

ES/L005808/1

Access

Publisher

UK Data Service

Publication year

2018

Terms of data access

The Data Collection is available to UK Data Service registered users subject to the End User Licence Agreement.

Commercial use of the data requires approval from the data owner or their nominee. The UK Data Service will contact you.

Related publications

Not available