2026-05-25T10:43:09Z https://datacatalogue.cessda.eu/oai-pmh/v0/oai

4af673de142e83188008639a865f0e8c7dd00fc578df49a991cbf581bc4858e2 2025-10-06T03:09:13Z language:enopenaire_data

DDI study level documentation for study 10.7802/2831 Replication files for: Asymmetric Backlash against Structural Economic Change: The Electoral Consequences of the Coal Phase-Out in Germany Replication files for: Asymmetric Backlash against Structural Economic Change: The Electoral Consequences of the Coal Phase-Out in Germany Replication files for: Asymmetric Backlash against Structural Economic Change: The Electoral Consequences of the Coal Phase-Out in Germany 10.7802/283110.7802/283110.7802/283110.7802/2831 Stutzmann, Sophia Stutzmann, Sophia [Funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG – German Research Foundation) under Germany‘s Excellence Strategy – EXC-2035/1 – 390681379] GESIS Data Archive for the Social SciencesGESIS Datenarchiv für Sozialwissenschaften The published R Scripts and Stata syntax files (do-files) and datasets (among which a partial version of the 2020 Inequality Barometer published under https://doi.org/10.7802/2740) can be used to replicate the results reported in the article (Stutzmann, 2025). Past research has often attributed electoral backlash to structural economic change to a lack of compensation and interest group representation for affected groups. Is that backlash then mitigated in contexts where both of these conditions are fulfilled? I argue that perceived economic deprivation fuelling political disengagement as well as disappointment with the issue-owning party are important factors contributing to such a backlash. Using the case of Germany, I empirically analyse the electoral repercussions of a coal phase-out in the presence of compensation for affected groups as well as active involvement of labour and business interests in political decision-making. By employing a series of staggered difference-in-differences models, I investigate whether the closures of coal plants and mines between 2007 and 2022 affected voting behaviour at the municipal level. I find that these closures resulted in an asymmetric backlash in the form of lower vote shares for the issue owner, the Social Democratic Party, and higher abstention rates in affected municipalities. With the significant politicisation around fossil fuel-based energy generation, these findings have important implications for the remaining coal phase-outs worldwide.The published R Scripts and Stata syntax files (do-files) and datasets (among which a partial version of the 2020 Inequality Barometer published under https://doi.org/10.7802/2740) can be used to replicate the results reported in the article (Stutzmann, 2025). Past research has often attributed electoral backlash to structural economic change to a lack of compensation and interest group representation for affected groups. Is that backlash then mitigated in contexts where both of these conditions are fulfilled? I argue that perceived economic deprivation fuelling political disengagement as well as disappointment with the issue-owning party are important factors contributing to such a backlash. Using the case of Germany, I empirically analyse the electoral repercussions of a coal phase-out in the presence of compensation for affected groups as well as active involvement of labour and business interests in political decision-making. By employing a series of staggered difference-in-differences models, I investigate whether the closures of coal plants and mines between 2007 and 2022 affected voting behaviour at the municipal level. I find that these closures resulted in an asymmetric backlash in the form of lower vote shares for the issue owner, the Social Democratic Party, and higher abstention rates in affected municipalities. With the significant politicisation around fossil fuel-based energy generation, these findings have important implications for the remaining coal phase-outs worldwide. GermanyGermany Free access (without registration) - The research data can be downloaded directly by anyone without further limitations.Freier Zugang (ohne Registrierung) - Die Forschungsdaten können von jedem direkt heruntergeladen werden. http://dbkapps.gesis.org/dbkoai/oai.asp oai:dbk.gesis.org:SDN/10.7802_2831 2025-09-30 ddi:codebook:2_5